Video Creator’s Channel Chris Williamson

Given The Current Statement, Obviously, Theres Lots

of contributing different countries What’s going on with demographics? People talk about population collapse overall globally? What is your view of global population before we start talking about deglobalization, so assuming that globalization continues from its height onward. We were already in the process of revising down our estimates so it used to be 15 years ago that we thought by 2050 we were going to have 11 to 12 billion people that number is now under 10 and as the data continues to get upgraded. We’ll probably assuming nothing goes wrong. Peak at just below nine and then start falling back gently. If I’m right about deglobalization.

Were Going To Have A Significantly

sharper drop off and as soon as globalization hits agriculture at large, which may be in the fourth quarter of this year population, Peaks wow okay positive stuff looking. At the ways in which population collapse and the reduction of that could be tied in with automation Is there any technological savior that can come through and assist us with the problems that we’re facing at the moment there’s always unknown unknowns when it comes to technology. I’m aware of that. But are there things that you can foresee if we get particular advancements that may alleviate some of this absolutely so pros and cons. There are a lot of Technologies with automation AI and Robotics that look really good now Ai the whole idea of General Ai and Skynet we’re decades away from that so I was put that in the Box I’ll let Elon Musk talk about that UK is all about image recognition today and getting it so that machines can recognize different things and then do pre-programmed tasks.

Theres No Theres No Real Autonomy,

but it’s automated that allows manufacturing to reshape, but it also requires massive economies of scale. The most expensive thing a country can do isn’t industrialized. It’s to automate and it’s not a one-off cost. You have to constantly update it because every time there’s a change to the production line. You more or less have to start over with the programming.

So Its A Very Expensive Way To

go. It does use different labor and less labor, but it’s not clear to me that it really moves the needle in a huge way and if we’re breaking down Global Transport and intermediate Goods trade then we’re losing the economies of scale that make that model work in North America where you’ve got one third of global consumption. We’ll probably still be doing that. But I see that broadly leaving the East Asian sphere which. With their bad demographics are awful.

• globalization
• 2050
• industrialized
• technological
• advancements

We Also Have The Baby Boomers Leaving So

we know that the capital crunch is coming that means less money is available to do this sort of upgrading the the technology that I’m. Most interested in are the combination of Automation and agriculture. We’re very close to having facilities that you can latch on to a tractor that identify each individual plant and identify if it needs water or fertilizer or pesticide or if it’s weed or whatever and then it gets a squirt of whatever is appropriate. So you do like six passes of stuff in one pass and each plant gets individual attention that suggests that we would be able to reduce fertilizer and pesticide use by 80 percent and maybe even double yields. But again economies of scale.

It Only Works On Mega Farms, Where You

can afford the equipment cost. So if you’ve got giant farms in the United States or the Netherlands or Argentina or Australia sure doesn’t work for most of the world talking about technology I’ve heard that we are unbelievably reliant on getting cheap technological Parts out of China silicon chips and other such stuff. How much of an issue is it going to be if China is facing demographic collapse and then can’t make anything anymore. How much is that going to have Downstream effect for the rest of the world’s technology well. We’ve been a little bit lucky that the Chinese have kind of become a bag of dicks and really encouraged everyone to Outsource and resource everything that they can.

Its Thats Bought Us A Lot

of time now in the United States. Everyone is paranoid about semiconductors and we all see that 12 number that the UK now only produces 12 percent. of global ships as a panic point but that’s by number by value We produce 60 percent, So all the leaderships are designed in JApan. The United States they might be manufactured somewhere else if they’re further down the scale, but in terms of cell phones and server Farms the important stuff that that’s already safe. The problem is going to be the mid-and the lower land.

The Mid Ones Are Usually Malaysian Thailand.

The lower ones are almost certainly China so when you’re talking about the lower text stuff The Internet of Things Yeah that’s just going away, but I’d argue that I don’t really need a meat thermometer that is going to tell my phone what the temperature of the meat is. I mean we can get by without that I think it’s overall Electronics manufacturer that’s going to be the big issue because remember differentiated labor. forces is what makes manufacturing work? China is a huge place.

• view global population
• global population start
• talking deglobalization assuming globalization continues
• population collapse reduction tied automation
• facing demographic collapse make anymore

Its Got A Lot Of That

internally and then it has access immediately to Taiwan, Japan, Korea and Southeast Asia that’s what’s breaking down that whole ecosystem we can’t rebuild all of that I mean just just to serve Electronics needs for North America probably would require a Workforce of four million people in manufacturing. We’re already in labor shortage and the Mexicans are kind of tapped out already so there is going to be a huge amount of pressure. Americans do well at the really high-end manufacturing and the very low end. Because we’re energy rich.

Its The Part In The Middle

that we’re really reliant on the Mexicans to save us for what ways could you be wrong about all of this stuff Yeah like I said this is perspective we’re dealing with an environment that we’ve. been in before the way I would like to be wrong? Is that the Americans would actually do what George Herbert Walker-Bush wanted to do back in 1991 and have a conversation with ourselves about what sort of world we wanted to live in and how to get there we weren’t interested. Then I would argue that we’re really not interested now so that the risk here from my point of view is that globalization does manage to persist because of some lingering American commitment. I’m not seeing that I’m certainly not seeing that with Ukraine war yes we’re seeing UK having a new lease on life but the whole guns for butter deal that we made during the Cold War.

None Of The Economic Stuff Is On The

agenda. All the sanctions that the Trump Administration enacted are still there with one exception that the Airbus case Ah. I don’t see it’s very likely and then on the demographic front that’s just math If you want more 30 years 30-year-olds, you had to start 31 years ago what’s happening people if you enjoyed that then press here for the full unedited episode and don’t forget to subscribe peace.

Summary

The most expensive thing a country can do isn’t industrialized. It’s to automate and it’s not a one-off cost. You have to constantly . Automation allows manufacturing to reshape, but it also requires massive economies of scale.& There’s No real autonomy, but there’s no real autonomy. There are a lot of Technologies with automation AI and Robotics that look really good now Ai the whole idea of General Ai and Skynet we’re decades away from that so I was put that in the Box. I’ll let Elon Musk talk about that UK is all about image recognition today and getting it so that machines can recognize different things and then do pre-programmed tasks. We’re going to have a significantly sharper drop off and as soon as globalization hits agriculture at large, which may be in the fourth quarter of this year population, population is looking. Peaks wow okay positive stuff looking. Peak at the end of the year population is expected to peak at just below nine and then…. Click here to read more and watch the full video